World War Three is Upon Us

World War Three is Upon Us

As a reminder, when October 7 happened, I treated that event as the other front in a global conflict. And I will disagree with the historians that the Daily Mail interviewed. What is happening in Iran right now is a continuation of that war. In other words, it is not entirely a war of choice for Israel, so we are clear. It is existential for both Iran and Israel; however, it is entirely a war of choice for the United States.

However, this post matters because this talk of a global conflict is spreading beyond this crazy small journalist on an online platform, or two. This is a Murdoch paper, with a pretty good reach. So welcome to the club? I did say that the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022 was likely the beginning of a global conflict, that at some point, it could have been contained. So, with no further ado, I know the Daily Mail tends to be a tad on the yellow-journalism side. But sometimes they get it mostly right. Because Iran wanted that conflict with Israel, and let’s be honest, so did the current far-right Israeli government. So, with no further, just sticking to the Telegram section, because it summarizes the article well. And no, not even the United States is ready for this. Partly because we have missed how much war has changed. I guess class is in session, and it will be an expensive lesson in both treasure and lives:

World War III has already begun, — Daily Mail citing historians

▪️Although it is not officially recognized, World War III began on February 24, 2022, when Russia invaded Ukraine of its own free will, and not out of the need for self-defense. Previously, similar signs in the 20th century meant the beginning of two world wars;

▪️The attack by the US and Israel on Iran is also a “desire”, and not self-defense. And this attack is called by historians a factor that is about to return the world to chaos;

▪️Scientists compare the current situation to how World War II became global only after Japan attacked the Pearl Harbor base.

https://t.me/MAKS23_NAFO/88983

Now, let me point out how this could affect the United States more directly. And if the FBI is correct, and we get drones over California, don’t call it terrorism. Our president has declared a total war against the Iranian regime. And when you do that, the other side gets a vote. And here it is, from ABC News:

The FBI warned police departments in California in recent days that Iran could retaliate for American attacks by launching drones at the West Coast, according to an alert reviewed by ABC News.

“We recently acquired information that as of early February 2026, Iran allegedly aspired to conduct a surprise attack using unmanned aerial vehicles from an unidentified vessel off the coast of the United State Homeland, specifically against unspecified targets in California, in the event that the US conducted strikes against Iran,” according to the alert distributed at the end of February. “We have no additional information on the timing, method, target, or perpetrators of this alleged attack.”

So here is the comparison from that other global conflict. This would be similar to the Doolittle raid over Tokyo after Pearl Harbor. And when the president calls it terror, he invited this attack by declaring total war over a tweet. I will post it again as a reminder.

Now what could Iran be after? Because the straits are effectively closed. Well, here is a look at this from Hamish de Bretton-Gordon. This is a worthwhile watch from a UK military observer. Do pay attention to how other people talk. He will point out to you that this was about regime change. It was a very bad bet, by the way.

This brings me to the Israelis, who are now signaling they are seeking an off-ramp. I posted it on the Arab Telegram yesterday. Now we have number two and number three. Number two is via the Jerusalem Post:

As doubts about the prospect of imminent regime change in Iran spike, senior defense sources have told The Jerusalem Post this is not and never was a military goal.

Rather, the IDF always hoped to enhance the conditions that might make regime change in Iran possible if the domestic opposition to the government would be ready to take to the streets again in sufficient numbers to topple the regime, the sources said.

The military would look positively at regime change and wanted to try to help the process, but it never had illusions that military action by itself would guarantee such an outcome, they said

The third was a similar statement to Reuters. So, where we are is Israel, and the United States has removed regime change from its objective list. Why? Air Wars cannot be won without boots on the ground.

So what does President Volodomyr Zelensky have to say about this?

The president believes that the world is not ready for World War III at this stage. The reason for this is new technological threats and potential alliances of aggressors.

“From a technical point of view, Europe is not ready enough, only some countries. Yes, they are on the way. The Germans are acting very quickly, but this is not enough... to prepare for such challenges this year. The Nordic countries... are very technological. I mean Northern Europe, they are ready,” Zelenskyy said.

He added that the US army is certainly very strong, but it is necessary to separate the war with missiles and drones and the ground war (meaning that the West is technologically ahead, but experience is important in a ground war).

In the event of a major war, these factors will already be together, and here the experience of ground wars is needed. Ukraine has such experience, but it was gained at the cost of great human losses.

And in the big picture reality of a global conflict, he is correct. Partly because we are proving it right now. How can I put this diplomatically? Oh yes, we have not learned any lessons from the Russia-Ukraine war. You do not fight cheap drones with four million missiles. This is why Ukraine has not fired this many missiles and developed the layered defense they have used to hunt for Gerbera II, the Russian version of the Shaheed 136. And while Russia is running out of people, Zelensky also shared this intelligence. And I suspect these will be Chechen units by the way, given the statement from Apti Alaudinov from a few days ago, that he is willing to go fight with Iran:

Zelensky: Russia has started supporting the Iranian regime with drones. It will certainly help with missiles, and it will also help them with air defense. What next?

Given the situation, there is only one question: when and which country will be the first to support the Iranian regime by sending troops?

Just as it happened with Russia, when North Korea sent 10,000 soldiers, who are currently deployed in Russia, but may be sent to Ukraine. The same could happen with Iran - Russia may send troops there.

So bear that in mind. At this point, it would be US Soldiers fighting Russian soldiers, not just the IRGC. And given that the administration does not care that Russia is sharing intelligence with Iran... mind you, we are doing the same with Ukraine, so let’s not pretend that we are innocent here. Why? Because we have been at war with Russia, whether Trump likes it or not, at a very low level since 2022. And let’s face it, policy makers in DC miscalculated this ten ways to Sunday:

Before launching military strikes on Iran, Trump and several advisers believed the conflict would not seriously disrupt global oil markets, - NYT

They expected any rise in oil prices to be brief and assumed Iran would respond similarly to the limited reaction during the previous year’s short war.

As a result, warnings that Iran might try to disrupt shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for about 20% of the world’s oil supply, were largely dismissed.

This is the miscalculation of the century. And it is not accidental. When you have a malignant narcissist in charge, experts are ignored. The straits were partially closed during the Iran-Iraq war. I am old enough to remember the naval escorts back in the day, because the straits are that critical. To secure the straits, you need troops. You cannot bomb your way out of it. It even had a name, the Tanker War phase of the war. And we had naval escorts to keep energy flowing. So the experts warned policymakers, and of course, they knew better. And here is something else. We are also getting casualties that we, the people, have not heard about. This is what CBS has now found:

The Iranian drone strike in Kuwait, which killed American service members, turned out to be more serious than previously thought, - CBS

Dozens were injured from head injuries, shrapnel wounds, and burns, with more than 30 people still hospitalized, including about 25 in Landstuhl, Germany.

It sort of explains why Landstuhl is now telling service member wives to plan to deliver in civilian hospitals. Here, receipts:

The largest U.S. Department of Defense hospital abroad is pausing its labor and delivery services until further notice to focus on the needs of the conflict across the Middle East.

The Landstuhl Regional Medical Center, located near Ramstein Air Base in Germany, is temporarily referring some labor and delivery patients to other hospitals within the local community, hospital officials told Military Times on Thursday.

The medical center sent a notice about the halt in those services to Landstuhl patients through a Tuesday memorandum that circulated on the unofficial Air Force amn/nco/snco Facebook page.

Something similar happened during the Iraq War in 2003. So when that came out, I went, hmm. So how bad are injuries now? Because US Bases in the region are getting slammed every few hours. And this is one of those noise signals that injuries are more serious than we are being told. And in war, military secrecy is real, but we also have ways to find out indirectly. And this is one of them.

Zelensky warned of this for years. He also said that Europe was not ready. He was correct, and we are now going to pay that price. Because I have my doubts, short of a draft, the United States cannot fight a war on more than one front. Which brings me back to the FBI's warning to California police departments. Consider this: how could a drone attack in the United States be used for this goal? And yes, at this point, this is also a holy war. Let me share this second must-watch video, because Christian Nationalism is no longer a fringe movement. It was not as embedded in 2003, but now it is: